Metcash Limited (MTS.AX)

DCF Valuation · Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Valuation as at 2026-08-12 · see also the ASX 300 Most Undervalued screen

About Metcash Limited

Metcash Limited operates as a wholesale and distribution company in Australia. The company operates through Food, Liquor, and Hardware segments. Its Food segment distributes a range of products and services to independent supermarket, convenience retail outlets, and food service customers.

Source: Yahoo Finance company profile · factual description, not KashVector commentary

Metcash Limited MTS.AX

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Price
$3.12
Market Cap
$3.43B
Free Cash Flow
$0.34B
Beta
0.50
P/E (TTM)
12.5x
52-Week Range
$2.63–$4.26

Metcash Limited's price & financial trends

Annual reporting periods — this market does not have reliable quarterly data on Yahoo (either it isn't required, or coverage is incomplete), so annual is the most granular consistent series across free cash flow and dividends.

Data as at 2026-08-12

Share price · last 2 years

$3.12 -13% vs 2024-08
ASX 200 $3.58$3.17$3.91$3.36$2.72$3.12 2024-082025-012025-062025-112026-042026-08

Earnings per share (diluted) Per year

$0.25 -5% vs FY23
$0.27$0.26$0.26$0.25FY23FY24FY25FY26

Free cash flow Per year

$0.38B +3% vs FY23
$0.37B$0.35B$0.39B$0.38BFY23FY24FY25FY26

Dividend per share Per year

$0.18 -23% vs FY23
$0.23$0.16$0.15$0.18FY23FY24FY25FY26

Value investing scale · Buffett · Dalio · Graham

Partial Fit
12 / 20 combined score

See the full Buffett, Dalio & Graham breakdown for MTS.AX →

Intrinsic value estimate · 5-year forecast

BEAR
$3.30
vs current $3.12
+5.6% ⚠️ Fairly Valued
BASE
$4.71
vs current $3.12
+50.9% ✅ Undervalued
BULL
$7.05
vs current $3.12
+126.0% ✅ Undervalued

Assumptions used in this valuation

Every input below is either fetched live from Yahoo Finance or a documented default — nothing is hidden.

Starting free cash flow
$0.34B
Reported free cash flow (Yahoo)
Risk-free rate
4.80% ● LIVE
Live 10-yr govt bond
Beta
0.50
Floored for non-US stocks
Equity risk premium
6.00%
Market-specific seed
Cost of debt
5.95%
Synthetic rating A, ICR 7.1x
Tax rate
25.00%
Estimated default
Capital structure
E 64% / D 36%
Market cap vs total debt
Projection horizon
5 years
+ terminal value beyond
BearBaseBull
5-yr FCF growth-2.4%-1.6%-0.8%
Terminal growth2.5%2.5%2.5%
WACC (discount rate)7.61%6.61%5.61%

Cost of Equity = Risk-free rate + Beta × Equity Risk Premium = 4.80% + 0.50 × 6.00% = 7.80% · WACC = weighted by 64%/36% capital structure

These numbers come from running Metcash Limited's cash flows through the mechanical DCF formula and assumptions above — not from any view on the news, management, or MTS.AX's competitive position. What is DCF?

Want to test your own growth or discount-rate assumptions?Open the full interactive calculator, pre-filled with MTS.AX →

More ASX stocks we've valued

Not financial advice. DCF valuations are highly sensitive to assumptions — small changes in growth rate or discount rate produce large swings in output. This is a mechanical calculation, not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell.

About this valuation

Computed on 2026-08-12 from Yahoo Finance data, using the same engine as the full DCF tool and the ASX 300 Most Undervalued screen. Every figure above is a point-in-time snapshot of that date — change any assumption yourself in the interactive tool for a live one.

Frequently asked questions

Is Metcash Limited (MTS.AX) undervalued?

The Base-case DCF estimates intrinsic value at $4.71 vs a price of $3.12 on 2026-08-12 — a +50.9% margin, so the Base case reads undervalued. This is a mechanical output, not advice.