Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX)

DCF Valuation · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Valuation as at 2026-08-14 · see also the ASX 300 Most Undervalued screen

About Woodside Energy Group Ltd

Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas liquids. The company holds interests in the Pluto LNG, North West Shelf, Wheatstone and Julimar-Brunello, Bass Strait, Ngujima-Yin FPSO, Okha FPSO, Pyrenees FPSO, Macedon, Shenzi, Mad dog, Greater Angostura, as well as Scarborough, Sangomar, Trion, Calypso, Browse, Liard, Ruby, Sangomar, Atlantis, Woodside Solar opportunity, and Sunrise and Troubadour.

Source: Yahoo Finance company profile · factual description, not KashVector commentary

Woodside Energy Group Ltd WDS.AX

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Price
$32.60
Market Cap
$61.98B
Free Cash Flow
-$0.45B
Beta
1.00
P/E (TTM)
16.2x
52-Week Range
$21.96–$35.82

Woodside Energy Group Ltd's price & financial trends

Annual reporting periods — this market does not have reliable quarterly data on Yahoo (either it isn't required, or coverage is incomplete), so annual is the most granular consistent series across free cash flow and dividends.

Data as at 2026-08-14

Share price · last 2 years

$32.60 +20% vs 2024-08
ASX 200 $27.19$24.71$23.63$25.16$33.55$32.60 2024-082025-012025-062025-112026-042026-08

Earnings per share (diluted) Per year

$1.42 -67% vs FY22
$4.26$0.87$1.87$1.42FY22FY23FY24FY25

Free cash flow Per year

-$0.78B -114% vs FY22
$5.67B$0.85B$0.94B-$0.78BFY22FY23FY24FY25

Dividend per share Per year

$1.05 -37% vs FY22
$1.68$2.23$1.28$1.05FY22FY23FY24FY25

Value investing scale · Buffett · Dalio · Graham

Strong Fit
14 / 20 combined score

See the full Buffett, Dalio & Graham breakdown for WDS.AX →

Intrinsic value estimate · 5-year forecast · Revenue-normalised

BEAR
$15.40
vs current $32.60
-52.8% ❌ Overvalued
BASE
$20.04
vs current $32.60
-38.5% ❌ Overvalued
BULL
$26.41
vs current $32.60
-19.0% ⚠️ Fairly Valued

Assumptions used in this valuation

Every input below is either fetched live from Yahoo Finance or a documented default — nothing is hidden.

Starting free cash flow
$3.84B
Revenue × 20.9% target margin — reported FCF unavailable
Risk-free rate
4.80% ● LIVE
Live 10-yr govt bond
Beta
1.00
Floored for non-US stocks
Equity risk premium
6.00%
Market-specific seed
Cost of debt
5.40%
Synthetic rating AAA, ICR 17.4x
Tax rate
25.00%
Estimated default
Capital structure
E 76% / D 24%
Market cap vs total debt
Projection horizon
5 years
+ terminal value beyond
BearBaseBull
5-yr FCF growth-7.5%-5.0%-2.5%
Terminal growth2.5%2.5%2.5%
WACC (discount rate)10.19%9.19%8.19%

Cost of Equity = Risk-free rate + Beta × Equity Risk Premium = 4.80% + 1.00 × 6.00% = 10.80% · WACC = weighted by 76%/24% capital structure

These numbers come from running Woodside Energy Group Ltd's cash flows through the mechanical DCF formula and assumptions above — not from any view on the news, management, or WDS.AX's competitive position. What is DCF?

Want to test your own growth or discount-rate assumptions?Open the full interactive calculator, pre-filled with WDS.AX →

More ASX stocks we've valued

Not financial advice. DCF valuations are highly sensitive to assumptions — small changes in growth rate or discount rate produce large swings in output. This is a mechanical calculation, not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell.

About this valuation

Computed on 2026-08-14 from Yahoo Finance data, using the same engine as the full DCF tool and the ASX 300 Most Undervalued screen. Every figure above is a point-in-time snapshot of that date — change any assumption yourself in the interactive tool for a live one.

Frequently asked questions

Is Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX) undervalued?

The Base-case DCF estimates intrinsic value at $20.04 vs a price of $32.60 on 2026-08-14 — a -38.5% margin, so the Base case reads overvalued. This is a mechanical output, not advice.