Guzman y Gomez (Holdings) Ltd (GYG.AX)

Growth Stock Valuation · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Valuation as at 2026-08-13

About Guzman y Gomez (Holdings) Ltd

Guzman y Gomez Limited operates and manages quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its restaurants offer Mexican-inspired food through a chain of quick service restaurants, as well as drive thru, delivery, digital channels, strip, and drive thru formats. The company also manages a franchise network of quick service restaurants.

Source: Yahoo Finance company profile · factual description, not KashVector commentary

Guzman y Gomez (Holdings) Ltd GYG.AX

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Price
$24.35
Market Cap
$2.42B
Free Cash Flow
$-12.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$516.5M
Revenue Growth
22.6%
Gross Margin
35.7%
Net Debt
$133.2M
52-Week Range
$15.06–$34.06
Cash runway at current burn rate: 228 months

What does the current price assume?

At the current price, the market appears to be pricing in about 32.1% initial revenue growth, reaching positive free cash flow by year 6.

Guzman y Gomez (Holdings) Ltd's price & financial trends

Data as at 2026-08-13

Share price · last 2 years

$24.35 -31% vs 2024-08
ASX 200 $35.50$39.75$28.29$23.23$18.31$24.35 2024-082025-012025-062025-112026-042026-08

Revenue Per year

$464.6M +170% vs FY22
$171.8M$259.0M$364.8M$464.6MFY22FY23FY24FY25

Free cash flow Per year

$-4.0M -6% vs FY22
$-3.8M$-7.4M$3.2M$-4.0MFY22FY23FY24FY25

Operating margin trajectory Per year

4.7% +281% vs FY22
-2.6%-6.0%-1.1%4.7%FY22FY23FY24FY25

Growth Score

Partial Fit3 of 6 criteria passed
Rule of 40 (Growth % + FCF Margin % >= 40)20.2%
Revenue Growth > 20%22.6%
Gross Margin > 50%35.7%
Cash Runway > 24 Months228 mo
Operating Margin Trajectory Improving-2.6% -> 4.7%
Dilution (Diluted Shares Growth) <= 10%/yr23.5%

Value investing scale · Buffett · Dalio · Graham

Partial Fit
10 / 20 combined score

See the full Buffett, Dalio & Graham breakdown for GYG.AX →

The two models, in detail

Each shown with what it says the company is worth today and what growth the current price already implies — not just a single point estimate.

Multi-Stage DCF

$17.12
-29.7% margin of safety
Overvalued

EV / Sales

$9.04
-62.9% margin of safety
Deeply Overvalued
Implied EV/Sales at the current price: 4.95x (vs. today's reported 4.96x)

These numbers come from running Guzman y Gomez (Holdings) Ltd's revenue and margin trajectory through the Multi-Stage DCF and EV/Sales formulas above — not from any view on the news, management, or GYG.AX's competitive position. What is a multi-stage DCF?

Want to test your own growth, margin, or discount-rate assumptions?Open the full interactive calculator, pre-filled with GYG.AX →

More ASX stocks we've valued

Not financial advice. Multi-Stage DCF and EV/Sales valuations are highly sensitive to assumptions — small changes in growth rate, target margin, or discount rate produce large swings in output. This is a mechanical calculation, not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell.

About this valuation

Computed on 2026-08-13 from Yahoo Finance data, using the same engine as the full Growth Stock Evaluator. Every figure above is a point-in-time snapshot of that date — change any assumption yourself in the interactive tool for a live one.

Frequently asked questions

Is Guzman y Gomez (Holdings) Ltd (GYG.AX) undervalued?

The Multi-Stage DCF estimates intrinsic value at $17.12 vs a price of $24.35 on 2026-08-13. This is a mechanical output from a model with genuine assumptions built in (target margin, growth fade, reinvestment) — not advice.

What does "implied growth rate" mean?

It's the reverse question: instead of assuming a growth rate and computing a value, this holds every other assumption fixed and asks what initial revenue growth rate would make the model's value equal to today's actual price. It tells you what the market is already betting on, which you can then judge for plausibility yourself.