Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB)

Valuation as at 2026-09-25

About Rocket Lab Corporation

Rocket Lab Corporation, a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. The company operates through launch services and space systems segments. The company provides launch services, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, optical systems, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions and constellation management services, as well as designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets and develops flight and ground software.

Source: Yahoo Finance company profile · factual description, not KashVector commentary

Rocket Lab Corporation RKLB

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Price
$73.61
Market Cap
$47.07B
Free Cash Flow
$-252.0M
Revenue (TTM)
$769.1M
Revenue Growth
62.0%
Gross Margin
37.3%
Net Debt
$-2.17B
52-Week Range
$37.57–$151.00
Cash runway at current burn rate: 110 months

What does the current price assume?

even at 200% growth (the upper search bound), the reinvestment this growth rate requires exceeds what the business could self-fund -- not a debt problem here (this company holds net cash), but a sign the assumed capital intensity or margin path may be unrealistic for this ticker

Rocket Lab Corporation's price & financial trends

Data as at 2026-09-25

Share price · last 2 years

$73.61 +657% vs 2024-09
S&P 500 $9.73$20.49$45.92$69.76$143.48$73.61 2024-092025-022025-072025-122026-052026-09

Revenue Per year

$601.8M +185% vs FY22
$211.0M$244.6M$436.2M$601.8MFY22FY23FY24FY25

Free cash flow Per quarter

$-110.1M -99% vs Q2 '25
$-55.3M$-69.4M$-114.2M$-77.4M$-110.1MQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26

Operating margin trajectory Per year

-38.0% +41% vs FY22
-64.1%-72.7%-43.5%-38.0%FY22FY23FY24FY25

Growth Score

Good Fit4 of 6 criteria passed
Rule of 40 (Growth % + FCF Margin % >= 40)29.2%
Revenue Growth > 20%62.0%
Gross Margin > 50%37.3%
Cash Runway > 24 Months110 mo
Operating Margin Trajectory Improving-64.1% -> -38.0%
Dilution (Diluted Shares Growth) <= 10%/yr7.0%

Value investing scale · Buffett · Dalio · Graham

Poor Fit
7 / 20 combined score

4 criteria had no data

See the full Buffett, Dalio & Graham breakdown for RKLB →

AI Sector Correlation

AI sector (AIQ) 0.41 High

Strong co-movement with the AI sector, beyond what broad-market exposure explains.

How it's calculated →

AI hardware (semiconductors, SMH) 0.39 Moderate

Moderate co-movement with semiconductor stocks, beyond what broad-market exposure explains.

How it's calculated →

The two models, in detail

Each shown with what it says the company is worth today and what growth the current price already implies — not just a single point estimate.

Multi-Stage DCF

$1.20
-98.4% margin of safety
Deeply Overvalued

EV / Sales

$6.19
-91.6% margin of safety
Deeply Overvalued
Implied EV/Sales at the current price: 54.46x (vs. today's reported 54.45x)

These numbers come from running Rocket Lab Corporation's revenue and margin trajectory through the Multi-Stage DCF and EV/Sales formulas above — not from any view on the news, management, or RKLB's competitive position. What is a multi-stage DCF?

Want to test your own growth, margin, or discount-rate assumptions?Open the full interactive calculator, pre-filled with RKLB →

Not financial advice. Multi-Stage DCF and EV/Sales valuations are highly sensitive to assumptions — small changes in growth rate, target margin, or discount rate produce large swings in output. This is a mechanical calculation, not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell.

About this valuation

Computed on 2026-09-25 from Yahoo Finance data, using the same engine as the full Growth Stock Evaluator. Every figure above is a point-in-time snapshot of that date — change any assumption yourself in the interactive tool for a live one.

Frequently asked questions

Is Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) undervalued?

The Multi-Stage DCF estimates intrinsic value at $1.20 vs a price of $73.61 on 2026-09-25. This is a mechanical output from a model with genuine assumptions built in (target margin, growth fade, reinvestment) — not advice.

What does "implied growth rate" mean?

It's the reverse question: instead of assuming a growth rate and computing a value, this holds every other assumption fixed and asks what initial revenue growth rate would make the model's value equal to today's actual price. It tells you what the market is already betting on, which you can then judge for plausibility yourself.

What is "AI Sector Correlation"?

A measure of how closely this stock's daily price movements have tracked the AI sector over the trailing 12 months, after removing the effect of general stock-market movement. It is shown against two benchmarks: a broad AI-themed ETF (AIQ) and a semiconductor ETF (SMH), the hardware side of the AI boom. It answers "does this stock move with AI-sector sentiment specifically, beyond just moving with the market overall?" — not whether the company's revenue comes from AI.

How is it calculated?

We compute daily returns for the stock, the two AI ETFs (AIQ and SMH), and an equal-weight broad-market ETF over the trailing year, then calculate the partial correlation between the stock and each AI ETF while statistically controlling for the broad-market ETF. This isolates AI-specific co-movement from ordinary market-wide moves — a stock correlated with the market generally (which most large stocks are) doesn't automatically score as AI-correlated. See the full glossary entry for the formula and its limits.

What does "Inverse" mean?

A reading of -0.20 or lower. After removing general market movement, the stock has tended to rise when the AI sector (or semiconductor stocks) fall, and fall when they rise. It is a strong link, just in the opposite direction, which is why it is coloured red like High. It describes past price behaviour, not a prediction.

What is the "AI hardware" reading, and why show two numbers?

The broad AI ETF mixes hardware, cloud and software companies, so a stock can look unrelated to it while moving strongly with, or against, semiconductor stocks. For example, some large software companies have shown a near-zero reading against the broad AI ETF but a clearly negative one against semiconductors. Showing both lets you see either pattern. See the AI Hardware Correlation guide for how the semiconductor reading works.

What do the colours mean?

The colour shows how strongly the stock's price has been tied to the AI sector, in either direction. It is not a good or bad rating. Red means a strong link: High (moves with the AI sector) or Inverse (moves against it). Amber is Moderate, green is Low, and cyan means no meaningful link (None). Red is not a quality or valuation warning.

Does a high score mean I should buy this stock?

No. This is a descriptive statistic about historical price co-movement, not a valuation judgment or a recommendation. A stock can show high AI correlation and still be overvalued, and a stock with no AI correlation can still be a sound investment for other reasons. Use it alongside the growth score and valuation above, not in place of them.

Why might a genuinely AI-linked company still show "None"?

Correlation measures how the market has priced the stock recently, not the company's actual business exposure. A company can have a real AI-infrastructure story (for example, supplying power or components to data centres) without the market yet trading its shares in sync with AI-sector sentiment — the underlying business case and the price pattern are two different things.

Why do some international stocks score lower than expected?

Stocks listed outside the US (for example on the ASX or KRX) trade on a different calendar to the US-listed AI ETFs used for this comparison, so there are fewer directly overlapping trading days to compare. This can understate the correlation for otherwise AI-linked international companies — a known limitation of the method, not a judgment about the company.