Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN)

Growth Stock Valuation · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Valuation as at 2026-08-12

About Rivian Automotive, Inc.

Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells category-defining electric vehicles. It operates through two segments, Automotive, and Software and Services. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand; and a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name.

Source: Yahoo Finance company profile · factual description, not KashVector commentary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. RIVN

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Price
$16.36
Market Cap
$23.69B
Free Cash Flow
$-1.54B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.88B
Revenue Growth
27.2%
Gross Margin
7.5%
Net Debt
$43.0M
52-Week Range
$11.79–$22.69
Cash runway at current burn rate: 41 months

What does the current price assume?

At the current price, the market appears to be pricing in about 93.4% initial revenue growth, reaching positive free cash flow by year 9.

⚠ The market's implied path to profitability (year 9) is later than RIVN's cash runway at the current burn rate (~41 months) — reaching that path likely requires raising more capital or slowing the burn.

Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s price & financial trends

Data as at 2026-08-12

Share price · last 2 years

$16.39 +16% vs 2024-08
S&P 500 $14.13$12.56$13.74$16.86$16.40$16.39 2024-082025-012025-062025-112026-042026-08

Revenue Per year

$5.39B +225% vs FY22
$1.66B$4.43B$4.97B$5.39BFY22FY23FY24FY25

Free cash flow Per quarter

$-849.0M -113% vs Q2 '25
$-398.0M$-421.0M$-1.14B$-1.07B$-849.0MQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26

Operating margin trajectory Per year

-66.5% +84% vs FY22
-413.5%-129.4%-94.3%-66.5%FY22FY23FY24FY25

Growth Score

Partial Fit3 of 6 criteria passed
Rule of 40 (Growth % + FCF Margin % >= 40)1.0%
Revenue Growth > 20%27.2%
Gross Margin > 50%7.5%
Cash Runway > 24 Months41 mo
Operating Margin Trajectory Improving-413.5% -> -66.5%
Dilution (Diluted Shares Growth) <= 10%/yr17.1%

Value investing scale · Buffett · Dalio · Graham

Poor Fit
4 / 20 combined score

4 criteria had no data

See the full Buffett, Dalio & Graham breakdown for RIVN →

The two models, in detail

Each shown with what it says the company is worth today and what growth the current price already implies — not just a single point estimate.

Multi-Stage DCF

Net debt exceeds firm value under these assumptions.

EV / Sales

$8.12
-50.4% margin of safety
Deeply Overvalued
Implied EV/Sales at the current price: 4.02x (vs. today's reported 4.04x)

These numbers come from running Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s revenue and margin trajectory through the Multi-Stage DCF and EV/Sales formulas above — not from any view on the news, management, or RIVN's competitive position. What is a multi-stage DCF?

Want to test your own growth, margin, or discount-rate assumptions?Open the full interactive calculator, pre-filled with RIVN →

More S&P 500 stocks we've valued

Not financial advice. Multi-Stage DCF and EV/Sales valuations are highly sensitive to assumptions — small changes in growth rate, target margin, or discount rate produce large swings in output. This is a mechanical calculation, not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell.

About this valuation

Computed on 2026-08-12 from Yahoo Finance data, using the same engine as the full Growth Stock Evaluator. Every figure above is a point-in-time snapshot of that date — change any assumption yourself in the interactive tool for a live one.

Frequently asked questions

Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) undervalued?

The Multi-Stage DCF estimates intrinsic value at N/A vs a price of $16.36 on 2026-08-12. This is a mechanical output from a model with genuine assumptions built in (target margin, growth fade, reinvestment) — not advice.

What does "implied growth rate" mean?

It's the reverse question: instead of assuming a growth rate and computing a value, this holds every other assumption fixed and asks what initial revenue growth rate would make the model's value equal to today's actual price. It tells you what the market is already betting on, which you can then judge for plausibility yourself.